The 2022/23 UCL Fantasy season has concluded, and now is the time for Fantasy managers to reflect and assess their performance.
When it comes to selecting defenders for our UCL Fantasy team, clean sheet odds and expected clean sheets play a crucial role in our decision-making process. Let’s take a closer look at which teams managed the most clean sheets in the 2022/23 Champions League season and which teams either exceeded or fell short of their defensive expectations based on bookmakers’ odds.
As a quick reminder, prior to each matchday of the 2022/23 season, we utilized our Odds to Probability Calculator to determine the clean sheet odds (the probability of keeping a clean sheet) for all Champions League teams.
This allowed us to create an expected clean sheet table, providing an estimate of the number of clean sheets each team should have achieved compared to their actual clean sheet count.
By calculating the difference between the actual and expected clean sheets, we obtain the delta, which indicates whether a particular team outperformed or underperformed their defensive expectations based on bookmakers’ odds.
Champions League most clean sheets 2022/23
| Team | Clean Sheets | Expected Clean Sheets | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 8 | 5.06 | 2.94 |
| Inter Milan | 8 | 3.47 | 4.53 |
| Bayern München | 7 | 2.88 | 4.12 |
| AC Milan | 5 | 3.36 | 1.64 |
| Club Brugge | 5 | 1.28 | 3.72 |
| Real Madrid | 4 | 3.62 | 0.38 |
| Napoli | 4 | 2.97 | 1.03 |
| Porto | 4 | 2.13 | 1.87 |
| Chelsea | 3 | 3.25 | -0.25 |
| Tottenham | 3 | 2.68 | 0.32 |
| Liverpool | 3 | 2.52 | 0.48 |
| Dortmund | 3 | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| Benefica Lisabon | 2 | 2.83 | -0.83 |
| Leipzig | 2 | 1.92 | 0.08 |
| Frankfurt | 2 | 1.63 | 0.37 |
| Leverkusen | 2 | 1.45 | 0.55 |
| Sevilla | 2 | 1.28 | 0.72 |
| Sporting CP | 2 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Kodaň | 2 | 0.65 | 1.35 |
| Atletico Madrid | 1 | 2.15 | -1.15 |
| Marseille | 1 | 1.42 | -0.42 |
| Ajax Amsterdam | 1 | 1.27 | -0.27 |
| Salzburg | 1 | 1.24 | -0.24 |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0.91 | 0.09 |
| Maccabi Haifa | 1 | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| PSG | 0 | 2.72 | -2.72 |
| Barcelona | 0 | 2.11 | -2.11 |
| Juventus | 0 | 1.54 | -1.54 |
| Celtic | 0 | 1.03 | -1.03 |
| Šachtar Doneck | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7 |
| Gl.Rangers | 0 | 0.62 | -0.62 |
| Viktoria Plzeň | 0 | 0.31 | -0.31 |
| Total | 77 | 62.7 | 14.3 |
Most clean sheets: In the 2022/23 Champions League season, Manchester City and Inter Milan – 8.
Most expected clean sheets: Bookies had the highest expectations from Manchester City. According to bookie odds Citizens should have kept the most clean sheets from all teams – 5.06.
Biggest defensive overperformers: Inter Milan overperformed their defensive expectations the most of all Champions League teams. They should have kept 3.47 clean sheets in 2022/23 season according to bookies odds instead of 8.
Biggest defensive underperformers: PSG underperformed their defensive expectations the most of all teams. They should have kept 2.72 clean sheets instead of 0 according to bookies odds.
