The international break is over – and with gameweek 12 it is time to focus on Fantasy Premier League again.
So, let’s quickly jump to our FPL GW12 Tips with the best picks not just for wildcard teams, fixtures, transfer targets, odds, captain picks, and team selection.
1. Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 12 Tips
- There are Champions League matches in midweek – so do not use your transfer very early if someone gets injured.
- GW12 is a good gameweek to wildcard, as there are some fixture swings you might want to exploit
- Teams with a good fixture run: Arsenal, Aston Villa, Bournemouth, Brighton, Chelsea, Wolves
- Teams with tougher fixtures on the horizon: Crystal Palace, Liverpool (but after GW12), Man. City, Nottingham, Southampton, Spurs
2. Key players to pick and transfer targets for FPL GW12
Key players
- Haaland/Salah – your captain option in almost any gameweek
- Gvardiol/Rico Lewis – choose your Man. City defender
- Cunha/Ait Nouri – Wolves still with great fixture run
- Smith Rowe/Jimenez – if you have one of them, keep them for next 3 matches
- Saka – he is a season keeper for us
- Mbeumo – key man for Brentford
- Wood
Transfer targets
- Semenyo/Evanilson – OK fixtures for Bournemouth they have some good results behind them
- Bruno Fernandes – nice 2 fixtures for Manchester United, key man, new manager bounce
- Arsenal defender – we prefer Gabriel, but Raya is great option as well
- Palmer/Jackson – fixtures are improving for Chelsea
- Isak – he is getting to form we all expected from him at the start of the season
- Watkins/Rogers
- Welbeck – for good fixture run, nice form this season and OK stats
3. Fixtures to target in Gameweek 12
In which fixtures we could expect a lot of fantasy points? These are the fixtures to target in Gameweek 12 according to bookies odds.
- Southampton vs. Liverpool: The Reds 76 % to win, 49 % to score 2.5+ goals
- Arsenal vs. Nottingham: Arsenal 73 % to win, 36 % to score 2.5+ goals
- Leicester vs. Chelsea: Chelsea 65 % to win, 40 % to score 2.5+ goal
- Man. City vs. Tottenham: Citizens 65 % to win, 45 % to score 2.5+ goal
Find 2.5+ goals odds for all teams in our article: Premier League Over 2.5 Goals Odds.
Teams with bad defensive stats (the season):
- Ipswich (28.18 xGC)
- Leicester (25.79 xGC)
- Southampton (25.23 xGC)
Teams with bad defensive stats (last 30 days):
- Ipswich (8.19 xGC)
- Bournemouth (5.89 xGC)
- Chelsea (5.86 xGC)
Data source: Understat
Read more: What do xG, xA, xGI, xGC mean in FPL?
4. Best Captain Pick in GW12
Who is the best captain in Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 11?
According to our captaincy index, Salah is the best captain in FPL Gameweek 12 with a captaincy index score of 1.99
Haaland (captaincy index score 1.58) is the number 2 captaincy pick and Fernandes (1.53) is number 3.
But there are plenty of differential captaincy opportunities for GW12, such as Saka (if fit) against Nottingham, Palmer against Leicester, or Isak against West Ham.
5. What bookies odds say about Gameweek 12
As usual, we converted bookies odds into probabilities using our Odds to probability calculator, to assess the potential of GW 12.
Clean sheet odds for GW12
Arsenal (52 %) has the highest probability of a clean sheet in GW12. Bookies also favor Liverpool (45 %) and Aston Villa, Newcastle (37 %) to keep a clean sheet in GW 12.
Bookies expect 4.67 clean sheets in gameweek 12.
In the last season (2023/24), we were used to a rate of 4.13 clean sheets per gameweek. (A big decline in comparison to 2022/23 season when we saw 5.45 clean sheets per gameweek!)
Expected clean sheets
Due to correction in the number of clean sheets: Manchester United, Liverpool
Man. United overperformed their defensive expectations the most of all teams. They should have kept 2.43 clean sheets instead of 5 according to our expected clean sheets table.
Due to an improvement in the number of clean sheets: Man. City, Brentford
Man. City underperformed their defensive expectations the most from all teams. They should have kept 4.12 clean sheets instead of 3 according to our expected clean sheets table.
You can see the expected clean sheets table and clean sheet odds for all Premier League teams here.
Goalscoring odds for GW12
Usual business as Haaland (58 %) leads the goalscoring odds table followed by Salah (49 %) and Palmer (44 %).
Check all odds here: Premier League Goalsocring Odds.
6. FPL GW12 Team – wildcard selection
Now let’s look at our FPL team for GW12. Salah is our captain. Our Gameweek 12 scout squad is identical to our GW12 Wildcard – if we were using the chip this round.
7. Fantasy Premier League Tips
Find more tips, strategies and picks for Fantasy Premier League in these articles:
- Beginner? Read our guide: How to play Fantasy Premier League
- Confused about the rules? Read the Official rules of the game or check our FAQs
- Want to beat your mini-league rivals? This article is for you: 7 Key Tips for Fantasy Premier League Success
- Interested in improving your decision-making process when picking players to your fantasy team? Check out Books that will help you to improve your FPL skills
We hope our FPL GW12 tips helped you to gather some useful information before the Gameweek 12 deadline.
Good luck in FPL GW12!
