The Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 13 is here and with it a busy December schedule with a lot of games.
So, let’s jump to our FPL GW13 Tips with the best picks, fixtures, transfer targets, odds, captain picks, and team selection.
1. Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 13 Tips
- Having multiple free transfers during busy schedules like this can be handy in case some of your players get injured. So, try to not use all your free transfers unless you absolutely have to and (if possible), try to roll one free transfer every round, to have at least two free transfers during December, in case you have to use it on injured players. Flexibility is very important in this busy schedule.
- Make sure your bench is ordered correctly during December. Read more: How to order your bench in FPL?)
- What to do with Man. City assets? Man. City is struggling, but if you kept Haaland and missed all Salah hauls, we would stick to the strategy you decided on 3-4 weeks ago, and we would keep Haaland. Yes, GW13 fixture is tough, but anything can happen. You can never predict the outcome of any gameweek, everything is just the Law of Large numbers doing its thing. It would be absolutely not surprising (“classic FPL”) if Haaland would start firing again after everybody sold him.
2. Key players to pick and transfer targets for FPL GW13
Key players to pick
- Haaland/Salah – your captain option in almost any gameweek
- Cunha – Great form, Wolves still with great fixture run
- Saka – he is a season keeper for us
- Gabriel/Saliba – focus on having at least one Arsenal defender
- Mbeumo – key man for Brentford
- Wood
Transfer targets
- Arsenal players
- Joao Pedro – Brighton leads over 2.5 goals odds for GW13
- Palmer/Jackson
- Son – as a differential for GW13
4. Fixtures to target in Gameweek 13
In which fixtures we could expect a lot of fantasy points? These are the fixtures to target in Gameweek 13 according to bookies odds.
- Brighton vs. Southampton: Brighton 70 % to win, 44 % to score 2.5+ goals
- West Ham vs. Arsenal: The Gunners ++ % to win, 35 % to score 2.5+ goals
- Man. United vs. Everton: The Red Devils 63 % to win, 32 % to score 2.5+ goal
- Brentford vs. Leicester: Brentford 58 % to win, 33 % to score 2.5+ goal
Find 2.5+ goals odds for all teams in our article: Premier League Over 2.5 Goals Odds.
Teams with bad defensive stats (the season):
- Ipswich (29.45 xGC)
- Leicester (28.61 xGC)
- Southampton (28.41 xGC)
Teams with bad defensive stats (last 30 days):
- Manchester City (8.62 xGC)
- Crystal Palace (6.95 xGC)
- Tottenham (6.83 xGC)
Data source: Understat
5. Best captain pick in FPL Gameweek 13
Despite the tough fixture, according to our captaincy index, Salah is the best captain in FPL Gameweek 13 with a captaincy index score of 1.67.
Fernandes (captaincy index score 1.59) is the number 2 captaincy pick and Saka (1.57) is number 3.
6. What bookies odds say about Gameweek 13
As usual, we converted bookies odds into probabilities using our Odds to probability calculator, to assess the potential of GW 13.
Clean sheet odds for GW13
Arsenal (42 %) has the highest probability of a clean sheet in GW13. Bookies also favor Man. United, Nottingham and Brighton to keep a clean sheet in GW 13.
Bookies expect 4.51 clean sheets in gameweek 13.
In the last season (2023/24), we were used to a rate of 4.13 clean sheets per gameweek. (A big decline in comparison to 2022/23 season when we saw 5.45 clean sheets per gameweek!). So far this season we have seen 4.17 clean sheets per gameweek.
Expected clean sheets
Due to correction in the number of clean sheets: Manchester United, Liverpool
Man United overperformed their defensive expectations the most of all teams. They should have kept 2.77 clean sheets instead of 5 according to our expected clean sheets table.
Due to an improvement in the number of clean sheets: Man City, Aston Villa
Man. City underperformed their defensive expectations the most from all teams. They should have kept 4.41 clean sheets instead of 2 according to our expected clean sheets table.
You can see the expected clean sheets table and clean sheet odds for all Premier League teams here.
Goalscoring odds for GW13
After a long time, its not Haaland who leads the goalscoring odds table. In GW13, bookies assigned the highest probability of scoring a goal to Joao Pedro and Mbeumo (40%).
Check all odds here: Premier League Goalsocring Odds.
7. FPL GW13 Team – scout wildcard selection
Now let’s look at our FPL team for GW13 and beyond – a good inspiration for wildcarders. Salah is our captain.
8. Fantasy Premier League Tips
Find more tips, strategies and picks for Fantasy Premier League in these articles:
- Beginner? Read our guide: How to play Fantasy Premier League
- Confused about the rules? Read the Official rules of the game or check our FAQs
- Want to beat your mini-league rivals? This article is for you: 7 Key Tips for Fantasy Premier League Success
- Interested in improving your decision-making process when picking players to your fantasy team? Check out Books that will help you to improve your FPL skills
We hope our FPL GW13 tips with the best picks, fixtures, transfer targets, odds, captain picks, and team selection helped you to gather some useful information before the Gameweek 13 deadline.
Good luck in FPL GW13!
