FPL Gameweek 14 is here but it is not an easy time for Fantasy Premier League managers as gameweeks (and Champions League games) are coming in quick succession during this tight schedule. We will likely see a lot of rotation and perhaps (but hopefully not) some injuries as well.
However, when playing FPL, you must always think of all events in terms of probabilities. And no matter how bad your gameweek was, you have to keep going.
So, here are our FPL GW14 Tips, with the best picks, fixtures, transfer targets, odds, captain picks, and team selection.
1. Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 14 Tips
- Bench order: In this busy schedule it is extremely important to have the bench ordered correctly – in order to maximize potential points from bench players. Check our guide here: How to order your bench in FPL?
- Start slowly planning for AFCON (some players might miss 3-4 gameweeks between GW21 – GW24) – see our FPL calendar
- Do not forget that GW18 will be a blank gameweek
- The first wildcard is available until GW20
- Focus on Arsenal, Liverpool and West Ham players
- What to do with Areola? Keep him for these easy fixtures, use your transfers for other more pressing issues in your FPL team, not for the goalkeeper. But if you are on Wildcard, go for Raya as your number 1 goalkeeper.
- Mitoma is back, is expected to play
- Best Alisson replacement: Raya
- Mbeumo is number 1 transfer target, Wissa is great differential (but pre prepared for blank GW18)
- Arsenal midfielder is almost essential (our pick is Saka)
- What to do with Bowen? – he is still injury doubt, so we are in the same situation as previous week (injury update here). We are keeping him as it stands.
- What to do with Watkins? Watkins will be tested before the game. According to Emery, it is 50/50 for Sunday. Felt small pain, so was not risked in Europe Conference League – it does not sound serious. We are keeping him.
2. Key players to pick and transfer tips for FPL GW14
Key players to pick
- Haaland – the best player in the game
- Salah – great form, your GW14 captain
- Saka – key man for Arsenal, blanked only twice
- Gabriel/Saliba/Raya – have at least one Arsenal defensive
- Watkins – is unstoppable, keep him even during tough fixtures and despite the injury, as he is 50/50
- Bowen (if fit) – West Ham key player
- Trippier – but not essential given injuries among Newcastle defenders and tougher fixtures
Transfer targets
- Mbeumo – excellent stats, great fixtures until the blank gameweek. Wissa could be a differential.
- Dias/Walker – Manchester City defender could be nice differential, but make sure you do not have more than 3 players from City and Brentford, as they have blank in GW18
- Pinnock – Brentford with good fixtures, attacking threat
- TAA/VVD – Liverpool defensive coverage for good fixtures
- Arsenal MID/DEF
- Kudus – great differential
- Solanke – good stats, form, a key man for Bournemouth, and nice fixtures ahead (the only downside is, that Bournemouth will not score many goals)
- Isak/Gordon
- Wood – differential with Aowniyi out for 3 months
3. Fixtures to target in Gameweek 14
In which fixtures we could expect a lot of fantasy points? These are the fixtures to target in Gameweek 14 according to bookies odds.
- Liverpool vs. Fulham: The Reds 78 % to win, 51 % to score 2.5+ goals
- Arsenal vs. Wolves: The Gunners 74 % to win, 41 % to score 2.5+ goals
- Manchester City vs. Tottenham: Citizens 46 % to win, 25 % to score 2.5+ goal
- Brentford vs. Luton: Brentford 66 % to win, 33 % to score 2.5+ goal
Find 2.5+ goals odds for all teams in our article: Premier League Over 2.5 Goals Odds.
Teams with bad defensive stats (the season):
You can target players playing against them.
- Sheffield United (32.84 xGC)
- Luton (32.45 xGC)
- Bournemouth (27.58 xGC)
Teams with bad defensive stats (last 30 days):
- Tottenham (8.37 xGC)
- Luton (7.62 xGC)
- Chelsea (6.3 xGC)
4. Updated watchlists: Best players to pick in Gameweek 14 and beyond
We also looked at players from each position: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, and forwards and updated our watchlists.
We examine which players are best picks in each price bracket: budget enablers, midpriced picks, and premium options. Check our watchlists with our ratings and comments here:
- Best FPL goalkeepers to pick in Gameweek 14 (Watchlist)
- Best FPL defenders to pick in Gameweek 14 (Watchlist)
- Best FPL midfielders to pick in Gameweek 14 (Watchlist)
- Best FPL forwards to pick in Gameweek 14 (Watchlist)
- FPL Differential Picks for Gameweek 14 and Beyond
5. Best captain pick in FPL GW14
According to our captaincy index, Salah is the best captain in FPL Gameweek 14 with a captaincy index score of 1.98.
Haaland (captaincy index score 1.91) is the number 2 captaincy pick and Saka (1.49) is number 3.
If you are looking for a differential captain, you can consider Mbeumo or Nunez.
6. What bookies odds say about Gameweek 14
As usual, we converted bookies odds into probabilities using our Odds to probability calculator, to assess the potential of GW 14.
Clean sheet odds for GW14
Arsenal (50 %) has the highest probability of a clean sheet in GW14. Bookies also favor Liverpool (45 %) and Brentford (43 %) to likely keep a clean sheet in GW 13.
Bookies expect 4.85 clean sheets in gameweek 14. In last season, we were used to a rate of 5.45 per clean sheets gameweek. This season we have seen clean sheets at the rate of 4.07 clean sheets per gameweek. Clean sheets are on the decline in the 2023/24 season.
Expected clean sheets
Due to correction in the number of clean sheets: Crystal Palace, Arsenal
Crystal Palace overperformed their defensive expectations the most of all teams. They should have kept 2.9 clean sheets instead of 5 according to our expected clean sheets table.
Due to an improvement in the number of clean sheets: Brighton, Burnley
Brighton underperformed their defensive expectations the most from all teams. They should have kept 3.26 clean sheets instead of 0 according to our expected clean sheets table.
You can see the expected clean sheets table and clean sheet odds for all Premier League teams here.
Goalscoring odds for GW14
Usual business as Haaland (60 %) leads the goalscoring odds table followed by Salah (49 %) and Nunez (44 %).
Check all odds here: Premier League Goalsocring Odds.
7. FPL GW14 Team Selection
Now let’s look at our FPL team selection for GW14. Salah is our captain. It is Nunez over Watkins currently, but if it looks that Watkins is fit, we choose him over Nunez.
8. Fantasy Premier League Tips
Find more tips, strategies and picks for Fantasy Premier League in these articles:
- Beginner? Read our guide: How to play Fantasy Premier League
- Confused about the rules? Read the Official rules of the game or check our FAQs
- Want to beat your mini-league rivals? This article is for you: 7 Key Tips for Fantasy Premier League Success
- Interested in improving your decision-making process when picking players to your fantasy team? Check out Books that will help you to improve your FPL skills
We hope our FPL GW14 tips with the best picks, fixtures, transfer targets, odds, captain picks, and team selection helped you to gather some useful information before the Gameweek 14 deadline.
Feel free to JOIN our Fantasy Football Reports mini-league by clicking this link or using our league code ti56kl.
Good luck in FPL GW14!
