Busy schedule continues and FPL Gameweek 16 is here. Fantasy Premier League managers have some tough dilemmas before the deadline.
So, let’s quickly jump to our FPL GW16 Tips with the best picks, fixtures, transfer targets, odds, captain picks, and team selection
1. Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 16 Tips
- If you had a bad gameweek in GW15 (or got eliminated in the FPL cup), do not take it too emotionally. Keep your emotion stone cold and start preparing your squad for Gameweek 16.
- Focus on Liverpool, Chelsea, Newcastle, Arsenal players as their fantasy assets tends to be reliable and have a good fixture run.
Some popular picks on 4 yellow cards (1 card from 1-game suspension)
- Rogers,
- Sanchez,
- Munoz,
- Vardy
- Ait Nouri
- Delap
2. Key players to pick and transfer tips for FPL GW16
Key players to pick
- Salah – the best player in the game
- Saka/Odegaard – aim to have at least one Arsenal midfielder
- Gabriel/Saliba/Raya – have at least one Arsenal defensive player (wait for Gabriel injury news)
- Cunha/Ait Nouri
- Bowen
- Palmer – if you can fit him in without big sacrifices elsewhere in your team
Transfer targets
- Isak
- Saliba/Raya
- Alexander Arnold/VVD
- Jackson
3. Fixtures to target in Gameweek 16
In which fixtures we could expect a lot of fantasy points? These are the fixtures to target in Gameweek 16 according to bookies odds.
- Arsenal vs. Everton: Arsenal 79 % to win, 44 % to score 2.5+ goal
- Liverpool vs. Fulham: Liveprool 75 % to win, 46 % to score 2.5+ goal
- Newcastle vs. Leicester: Newcastle 75 % to win, 47 % to score 2.5+ goals
- Chelsea vs. Brentford: Chelsea 73 % to win, 50 % to score 2.5+ goals
Find 2.5+ goals odds for all teams in our article: Premier League Over 2.5 Goals Odds.
4. Teams to target (against)
You can target players playing against them.
Teams with bad defensive stats (the season):
- Southampton (38.63 xGC)
- Ipswich (36.36 xGC)
- Leicester (34.83 xGC)
Teams with bad defensive stats (last 30 days):
- Southampton (13.4 xGC)
- West Ham (9.75 xGC)
- Tottenham (9.58 xGC)
Source: Understat
5. Best captain pick in FPL GW16
According to our captaincy index, Salah is the best captain in FPL Gameweek 16 with a captaincy index score of 2.24
Saka (captaincy index score 1.84) is the number 2 captaincy pick and Palmer (1.64) is number 3.
If you are looking for a differential captain, you could consider Cunha, Isak or Son.
6. What bookies odds say about Gameweek 16
As usual, we converted bookies odds into probabilities using our Odds to probability calculator, to assess the potential of GW 16.
Clean sheet odds for GW16
In the last season (2023/24), we were used to a rate of 4.13 clean sheets per gameweek. (A big decline in comparison to 2022/23 season when we saw 5.45 clean sheets per gameweek!)
Clean sheets are still on the decline competing to seasons from 2 & 3 years ago.
Expected clean sheets
Due to correction in the number of clean sheets: Man. United, Everton
Man. United overperformed their defensive expectations the most of all teams. They should have kept 3.67 clean sheets instead of 6 according to our expected clean sheets table.
Due to an improvement in the number of clean sheets: Man. City, Brentford
Man. City underperformed their defensive expectations the most from all teams. They should have kept 5.4 clean sheets instead of 3 according to our expected clean sheets table.
You can see the expected clean sheets table and clean sheet odds for all Premier League teams here.
Goalscoring odds for GW16
As usual, Haaland leads the goalscoring odds table for GW16. Check all odds of scoring a goal here: Premier League Goalsocring Odds.
7. FPL GW16 Team Selection
Now let’s look at our FPL scout team selection constructed for GW16 and beyond. This is how our wildcard team would look like. Salah is our captain.
8. Fantasy Premier League Tips
Find more tips, strategies and picks for Fantasy Premier League in these articles:
- Beginner? Read our guide: How to play Fantasy Premier League
- Confused about the rules? Read the Official rules of the game or check our FAQs
- Want to beat your mini-league rivals? This article is for you: 7 Key Tips for Fantasy Premier League Success
- Interested in improving your decision-making process when picking players to your fantasy team? Check out Books that will help you to improve your FPL skills
We hope our FPL GW16 tips with the best picks, fixtures, transfer targets, odds, captain picks, and team selection helped you to gather some useful information before the Gameweek 16 deadline.
Good luck in FPL GW16!
