Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 7 is here and after it, there is another international break.
Here are our FPL GW7 Tips with the best picks, fixtures, transfer targets, odds, captain picks, and team selection.
1. Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 7 Tips
- Don’t chase past points. I see many FPL managers buying players solely based on their big scores from the last round. You have to realize that opportunity has passed and you missed those points. Make your transfers wisely, and focus on what’s ahead, not what’s behind.
2. Key players to own and transfer targets for FPL GW7
Key players
- Haaland – captain option in almost any gameweek – and we have a great fixture run for City
- Mbeumo – great fixtures for Brentford on the horizon
- Saka – good fixture, captaincy candidate
- TAA – Liverpool solid defensively, good attacking stats
- Gabriel/Saliba/Raya – choose your Arsenal defender(s)
Transfer targets
- Gvardiol/Rico Lewis – pick your Man. City defender for their good fixtures
- Solanke – he could be slowly generating points as we were used from him in past seasons
- McNail – could be a differential, only 6% owned, good fixture run, good form
- Bowen – a differential for GW7 fixture against Ipswich
3. Fixtures to target in Gameweek 7
In which fixtures we could expect a lot of fantasy points? These are the fixtures to target in Gameweek 7 according to bookies odds.
- Arsenal vs. Southampton: The Gunners 86 % to win, 59 % to score 2.5+ goals
- Manchester City vs. Fulham: Ctizens 78 % to win, 49 % to score 2.5+ goals
- Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool: The Reds 65 % to win, 38 % to score 2.5+ goal
- Chelsea vs. Nottingham: The Blues 65 % to win, 37 % to score 2.5+ goal
Find 2.5+ goals odds for all teams in our article: Premier League Over 2.5 Goals Odds.
4. Best captain pick in FPL GW7
We will keep the captaincy section short again.
We think Haaland is the best captaincy option in GW7. However, according to Understat, Fulham are 3rd best for xG conceded this season (they have lower xGC than Man. City)
If you want to go with a differential captain, consider Saka who plays against Southampton, who are 3rd worst for xG conceded this season. Mbeumo is another differential captain to consider.
According to our captaincy index, Haaland is the best captain in FPL Gameweek 7 with a captaincy index score of 2.03
Saka (captaincy index score 1.69) is the number 2 captaincy pick and Palmer (1.68) is number 3.
5. What bookies odds say about Gameweek 7
We converted bookies odds into probabilities using our Odds to probability calculator, to assess the potential of gameweek 7.
Clean sheet odds for GW7
Bookies favor Arsenal (55 %) and Manchester City (49 %) to most likely keep a clean sheet in GW7.
Expected clean sheets
Based on these odds, bookies expect 4.47 clean sheets in gameweek 7. So far this season we have seen 4 clean sheets per gameweek. In the last season (2023/24), we were used to a rate of 4.13 clean sheets per gameweek. (A big decline in comparison to the 2022/23 season when we saw 5.45 clean sheets per gameweek!).
Due to correction in the number of clean sheets: Liverpool, Manchester United
Liverpool overperformed their defensive expectations the most of all teams. They should have kept 2.28 clean sheets instead of 4 according to our expected clean sheets table.
Due to an improvement in the number of clean sheets: Asto Villa, Manchester City
Aston Villa underperformed their defensive expectations the most from all teams. They should have kept 1.71 clean sheets instead of 0 according to our expected clean sheets table.
You can see the expected clean sheets table and clean sheet odds for all Premier League teams here.
Goalscoring odds for GW7
Usual business, Haaland leads the goalscoring odds table for gameweek 7. Check all odds here: Premier League Goalsocring Odds.
6. FPL Gameweek 7 Team selection
Now let’s look at our FPL team selection for Gameweek 7. Haaland is our GW7 captain. This is how our GW7 Wildcard would look like.
7. Fantasy Premier League Tips
Find more tips, strategies and picks for Fantasy Premier League in these articles:
- Beginner? Read our guide: How to play Fantasy Premier League
- Confused about the rules? Read the Official rules of the game or check our FAQs
- Want to beat your mini-league rivals? This article is for you: 7 Key Tips for Fantasy Premier League Success
- Interested in improving your decision-making process when picking players to your fantasy team? Check out Books that will help you to improve your FPL skills
We hope our FPL GW7 tips helped you to gather some useful information before the Gameweek 7 deadline.
Good luck in FPL GW7!
