Replays of Fantasy Champions League Play-Offs start soon, so it’s time to prepare our UCL Fantasy squads for Matchday 10.
Points differences in mini-leagues and in overall ranking are very tight, and the Champions League Play Offs might predetermine the success of your squad. The deeper we go into the tournament the harder it will be to differentiate your UCL Fantasy team from squads of your rivals.
Let’s look at our UCL Fantasy MD10 Tips for the 2nd leg of play offs, where we discuss strategy, best picks, captain, odds, team selection and more.
1. UCL Fantasy Matchday 10 Tips & Strategy
a) Use both your free transfers and use them wisely
Before the 2nd of the Champions League Play Offs, we have two transfers available (you cannot carry forward any of them, so use all of them). After MD10 you will get unlimited transfers again anyway. It means you do not need to think about which teams will likely go through to the R16.
So use your free transfers them to:
- Get rid of suspended or injured players
- Bringing in the best captaincy options (if you do not own them)
- Bring in defenders who have a high chance of a clean sheet according to our Champions League Clean Sheets odds table
- Bring in players that are available again
- Bring in players good at balls recovered
- Change one Wednesday player for one Tuesday player, so you have 8 players who play on Tuesday and 7 or Wednesday = That way you could use your substitutions more effectively
b) Have the best captaincy option for each day
As we can change our captain after Tuesday, make sure you have a backup captain for Wednesday.
c) Make sure your goalkeepers play on different days and are from different halves of the bracket
Do not pick goalkeepers from the same day – that way you cannot use your substitutions for your goalkeeper if your first goalkeeper blanks.
d) If not sure about midfielders, bring in balls recovered heroes
The deeper we are in the tournament, the fewer options among good attacking players we have. So, you do not need to have 5 attacking midfielders in your team now. There are just a few really good midfield options that can deliver attacking returns regularly.
e) avoid -4 points hits unless necessary
f) not a bad time for limitless if you still have it
Given the unlimited transfers before MD9 and after MD10, it is better to save a regular wildcard for later stages in the tournament (where you will have to deal with eliminated players.) and not for MD10.
However, MD10 could be an opportunity for limitless (if you still have it), as further, we go in the tournament, the fewer players we have, which means fewer opportunities for limitless.
Also, if you use limitless in elimination rounds (after R16), your team reverses back to pre-limitless team after limitless which could be an issue when getting rid of eliminated players.
2. Fixtures to target in UCL Fantasy Matchday 10
Which fixtures you should target? We always use bookies’ odds to help us determine that. Let’s look at which teams have the highest chance of winning their match in the Matchday 10 and scoring a lot of goals in that game:
- Bayern vs. Celtic – Bayern 84 % to win, 62 % to score more than 2.5 goals
- PSG vs. Brest – PSG 82 % to win the match, 56 % to score more than 2.5 goals
- AC Milan vs. Feyenoord – AC Milan 65 % to win, 36 % to score more than 2.5 goals
- Atalanta vs. Club Brugge – Atalanta 43 % to win, 33 % to score more than 2.5 goals
Find 2.5+ goals odds for all teams in our article: Champions League Over 2.5 Goals Odds.
3. Key players to own in Play Offs
Key players to own
- Kane – your MD10 captain
- Mbappe/Vinicius/Bellingham – Man. City are struggling defensively
- Hakimi, Pacho, Marquinhos – PSG defensive coverage
- Barcola, Dembele
- Kim – balls recovering hero, hopefully, fit again
- Musiala, Olise
Transfer Targets
- Leao – good fixture, MOTM awards magnet
- Guirassy
- Pavlidis – in super form since his hattrick against Barca
- Retegui – good fixture
- Real Madrid players
4. Best captain for UCL Fantasy Play Offs 2nd leg
In UCL Fantasy MD10, we can switch our captain just one time.
Tip: Do not overcomplicate things. Just captain the best player on any given day.
Tuesday captain
Kane is our number 1 captaincy option for Tuesday. Our backup captain for Wednesday is Dembele – so the same picks as in MD9 but in reverse.
Our captaincy threshold is at 6 points.
Meaning if your captain scores 6 or more points, you will not change your captain.
It means, that if our Tuesday captain scores 6 points or more, we will keep the armband on him.
Read more about our captaincy thresholds: UCL Fantasy Captaincy Thresholds: When to change captain?
We have sub threshold at 4 points.
This means that if your player scores 4 points or more, you will not sub him off after the first day.
If he scores 3 points or less, you replace him on Wednesday with a player who is yet to play and is confirmed in a starting lineup.
With balls recovered and a clean sheet point(s) is quite common for players to score 3 points, so we always subbing of players with 3 or less points scored on Tuesday.
5. Odds and Probabilities for UCL Fantasy MD10
Clean Sheet Odds for MD10, Play Offs 2nd Leg
As usual, we converted bookies’ clean sheet odds into clean sheet probabilities using our Odds to probability calculator.
PSG (48 %) and Bayern (47 %) have the highest probability of keeping a clean sheet in Matchday 10, so you might aim to get one or two defenders from each of those teams again.
You can see all Champions League Clean Sheet Odds here.
Goalscoring Odds for MD10, Play Offs 2nd Leg
Kane leads the any time goalscoring odds for MD10. Check who follows in our article: Champions League Goalscoring Odds.
Note: Any Time Goalscorer odds are valid only if the player starts the match from the beginning.
6. Team selection for UCL Fantasy Matchday 10
Let’s finish our UCL Fantasy MD10 Tips with our scout squad – team selection. Team created solely for Matchday 10.
7. Fantasy Champions League Tips
Find more tips, strategies, and picks for UCL Fantasy in these articles:
- Beginner? Read our guide: How to play UCL Fantasy?
- Confused about the rules? Read the Official guidelines of the game
- Do you want to get better at UCL Fantasy? Read our article about Essential Tips for UCL Fantasy Success.
Good luck in UCL Fantasy Matchday 10 – Play Offs 2nd Leg.
