At FPL Reports, we like to do our Fantasy Football decisions based on data and probabilities. If you are like us, you will find probabilities from this article useful.
UCL Fantasy Quarterfinals start soon, so we converted bookies’ odds of progressing to the semi-finals into probabilities using our Odds to probabilities calculator.
When picking your UCL Fantasy quarterfinals squad, you should think long-term and consider, which teams are likely to go through to the semi-finals.
Probabilities of progressing to the semifinals (updated after 1st leg)
| Team | Probability |
|---|---|
| Barcelona | 99.99% |
| PSG | 90.63% |
| Arsenal | 86.98% |
| Inter Milano | 73.97% |
| Bayern | 26.03% |
| Real Madrid | 13.02% |
| Aston Villa | 9.37% |
| Dortmund | 0.01% |
We will bring you other UCL Fantasy ideas for the quarterfinals very soon.
Champions League 2025 bracket
Here is the link to the bracket for the rest of the 2025 Champions League season. It will help you with your decisions about which teams to focus on, as you should aim to have players from both sides of the bracket – that way all your players (especially goalkeepers and captains) will not end up playing against each other in the semifinals.
