UCL Fantasy Matchday 5: Tips, Captain, Picks & Team Selection

The last two rounds of the Fantasy Champions League group stage are here. Only a few options on how to boost your ranking before the beginning of the Round of 16 are left.

So we prepared for you UCL Fantasy tips for Matchday 5 in order to help you find opportunities to climb up the ranking before the elimination rounds begin.

We will focus with the best captain, best picks, fixtures to target, balls recovered, and our own scout team selection.

Let’s quickly dive in.

Do you want to get better at UCL Fantasy? Read our article about Essential Tips for UCL Fantasy Success.

1. Strategy and tips for UCL Fantasy Matchday 5 and onwards

Your fantasy football strategy for MD5 will depend on the number of chips you have available and when you plan to use them.

a) You used all your chips

If you already used your wildcard and the limitless wildcard, you need to keep an eye on MD6 fixtures when doing transfers, and even perhaps save one free transfer. Then you will have 3 free transfers in MD6, where we expect a lot of rotation as it is the last group stage match.

So try to bring in players that have good fixtures in both, MD5 and MD6 as well.

b) You plan to use limitless in MD6

If you plan to use your limitless wildcard in MD6, now is the time to use all your free transfers. You do not have to look at MD6 fixtures and you can make transfers that will bring you the highest expected output in the Matchday 5.

c) If you have BOTH chips available, limitless and classic wildcard as well

If you have both chips available, we prefer using them both in the group stage, basically creating two free hit teams in a row.

However, you could consider leaving the classic wildcard to the elimination round, but it might not have a big effect there, as we all have unlimited transfers after MD6. and then 5,3,5,3, etc free transfers before each round.

But definitely use limitless in the group stage. In the group stage, we have fixtures where strong teams play against whipping boys = a great source of fantasy points.

We also get a budget increased by 5m after MD6, which makes the limitless chip less effective in the elimination rounds too.

Our preferred strategy in this scenario would be:

1. Matchday 5: Classic wildcard
2. Matchday 6: Limitless wildcard

With MD5 Regular wildcard, you can find a great balance in your team, a combination of budget enablers with good fixtures (Riznyk, Remiro, Patric, Djiga…), and heavy hitters with good fixtures as well.

Then with MD6 Limitless wildcard you can target easy fixtures (Man. City, Leipzig, Barcelona…)

Strategy for everyone

1. Focus on players that are good at balls recovered. Their points output is stable due to the balls recovered and score 4-5 points for you even without an attacking return.
2. Target easy fixtures. Focus on premium players who are likely to haul and who play against very easy oppositions.
3. Alongside these few heavy hitters focus on cheap players who have stable output in balls recovered.
4. Pick defenders that have a high chance of a clean sheet
5. Make sure you have 2 great captaincy options, one for each day
6. Make sure your goalkeepers play on different days so you can use subs on them
7. Have around 8 players for Tuesday and around 7 players for Wednesday to use subs efficiently

📊 Whipping Boys of the current UCL Fantasy campaign!
⚽️ Time to target players facing these teams.

🥅 Most Goals Conceded MD1-MD4:

14 – Antwerp
12 – Celtic
11 – Young Boys, Man. United

#MD5 #UCLFantasy #FantasyFootball #ChampionsLeague

— Fantasy Football Reports (@FplReports) November 26, 2023

Team news

• Bellingham should be back for MD5
• Vinicius is out for 2 months, Joselu should play up top for Real Madrid
• Kepa is out, Lunin should start in goal for Real Madrid
• Ter Stegen missed the game during the weekend as a precaution, but there is still no news on whether he is available. If he is not available, Pena should start in goal
• Rafael Leao is out
• Hojlund is likely out until early December
• Haaland is fit

🏆⚽ #UCLFantasy Stats Before #MD5 🌟

Top Ball Recoverers:
🥇 40 – Kim
🥈 36 – Hummels
🥉 35 – Diogo Leite
34 – Bardakci
32 – Otemendi
31 – Tomori, Medina#ChampionsLeague #FantasyFootball #FootballStats

— Fantasy Football Reports (@FplReports) November 26, 2023

2. Fixtures to target in UCL Fantasy Matchday 5

Now let’s use our Odds to probability calculator to find out which fixtures we should target in Matchday 5 according to bookies odds.

Tuesday fixtures

• Manchester City vs. Leipzig: Citizens 73 % to win, 45 % to score 2.5+ goals
• Lazio vs. Celtic: Lazio 65 % to win, 33 % to score 2.5+ goals
• Barcelona vs. Porto: Blaugranas 65 % to win, 34 % to score 2.5+ goals
• PSG vs. Newcastle: PSG 55  % to win, 26 % to score 2.5+ goals

Wednesday fixtures

• Bayern vs. Copenhagen: Bayern 80 % to win, 52 % to score 2.5+ goals
• Arsenal vs. Lens: The Gunners 76 % to win, 44 % to score 2.5+ goals
• Real Sociedad vs. Salzburg: Real Sociedad 64 % to win, 32 % to score 2.5+ goals
• Real Madrid vs.  Napoli: Real 57 % to win, 29 % to score 2.5+ goals

Find 2.5+ goals odds for all teams in our article: Champions League Over 2.5 Goals Odds.

4. Best captain for Matchday 5

Let’s look at who do we consider to be the best captain for UCL Fantasy Matchday 5.

Tuesday captain pick: Haaland (RBL (H))

As it stands, we will captain Haaland as we think he is the best captain option for UCL Fantasy Matchday 5. He is the second scoring forward in the game and has a very good fixture.

Other captain picks for Tuesday: Lewandowski, Mbappe

Wednesday captain pick: Kane (CPH (H))

There is a wider captaincy range for our backup captain. A lot of good options and good fixtures to choose a player from.

We have a tough decision to make, but in the end, we chose Kane as our Wednesday captain, if Haaland fails to deliver at least 9 points (you can read our rules for switching the captaincy here).

Other captain picks for Wednesday: Saka, Fernandes, Bellingham, Lautaro Martinez

5. Bookies odds

As usual, we looked at what bookies think about the Matchday 5 of UCL Fantasy.

We checked the clean sheet odds to determine which teams are most likely to keep a clean sheet in the MD5 and goalscoring odds to determine which players are most likely to score a goal in MD5.

It can be very helpful when selecting the defense of your UCL Fantasy team or choosing your UCL Fantasy captain.

We used our Odds to probability calculator for converting bookies’ odds into probabilities.

Clean sheet odds for MD5

Bookies favor Bayern and Arsenal to keep a clean sheet with 48 % probability each. Man City and Real Sociedad (42 %) follow. Bookies expect 7.73 clean sheets in Matchday 5. You can find the full Champions League clean sheet odds table here.

 

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Goalscoring odds for MD5

Kane (60 %) leads goalscoring odds for MD5, followed by Haaland (55 %) and Mbappe (49 %). Check Any Time Goalscorer odds soon in our article Champions League Goalscoring Odds.

6. UCL Fantasy Team Selection Matchday 5

Let’s finish our preview for the Matchday 5 of UCL Fantasy with our scout seclection. This is a good inspiration for managers on their wildcard (regular one). If you plan to use your limitless wildcard in MD5, check our limitless squad here.

7. Fantasy Champions League Tips

Find more tips, strategies, and picks for UCL Fantasy in these articles:

• Beginner? Read our guide: How to play UCL Fantasy?
• Confused about the rules? Read the Official guidelines of the game
• Do you want to get better at UCL Fantasy? Read our article about Essential Tips for UCL Fantasy Success.

Feel free to JOIN our UCL fantasy mini-league for the 2023/24 season using our league code 50U1FM5M03.

Good luck in UCL Fantasy Matchday 5.